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| Published：2019.05.11 News Sources：Qingdao Gute Ship Supplies Co., Ltd. Views： | |||
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Hundreds of LNG ships have pushed up new shipbuilding prices
Drewry, a British shipping consultancy, believes that Qatar’s recently announced plans for a hundred LNG ship bookings have little impact on short-term charter rates, but may push up new shipbuilding prices.
Qatar Petroleum announced the construction of a LNG ship tender on April 22, and it is expected that 60 LNG ships will be built initially to support the planned capacity expansion. In the next 10 years, Qatar's LNG ship construction project is expected to exceed 100 ships.
Assuming that each LNG ship has a capacity of 180,000 cubic meters, the 100 LNG ships of Qatar are about 23% of the capacity of the existing LNG fleet. However, Delury expects that the delivery of these new vessels will not affect the LNG vessel charter rates, as Qatar's LNG vessels are built for upcoming projects and therefore will not be in the open charter market. Other ships compete.
Despite this, Delury predicts that if the LNG ship order in Qatar is officially finalized, the construction of the LNG ship will become very limited, which will push up the new shipbuilding price. Although the new shipbuilding price has risen slightly in the past six months, it is still at a lower level than the 2015 price.
In Delury's view, due to the small amount of orders in the past three years, the shipyard has sufficient capacity to accept large-scale LNG ship orders. Deluli believes that most of the LNG ship orders in Qatar will be handed over to the three major shipping companies in South Korea. In addition, considering that Qatar Petroleum Company will provide 100 LNG ships in the next 10 years, it is expected that these new ships will be interlaced. Separate order.
It is understood that these LNG vessels will be used to cope with the demand for Qatar's North Field Expansion (NFE) capacity expansion project. By 2024, Qatar's LNG capacity will increase from 77 million tons/year to 110 million tons/year. In addition, the new vessel will also handle LNG cargo transportation purchased and sold by Qatar Petroleum from the US Golden Pass export project. The Golden Pass project is scheduled to be put into operation in 2024 with a capacity of 16 million tons/year. Only these two projects are expected to generate 60 LNG ship demand.
In addition, Qatar’s tender also includes options for replacement requirements for existing LNG fleet fleets. Qatar’s national shipping company, Nakilat’s fleet, has 69 LNG ships with an average age of 10 years; however, by 2030, the average age of the fleet will increase to approximately 21 years, so there may be some replacement needs.
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